Multivariate Probabilistic Modeling of Extreme Discharges for FLOOD Risk Reduction via Adaptation Measures: an insight from the Meuse and her TRIButariES

RELEVANCE. In the summer of 2021, devastating floods swept through Belgium, Germany, and the Netherlands, causing billions of euros in damages and taking lives. The Netherlands, despite having one of the most advanced flood defence systems in the world, saw damages between € 400 - 500 million (Kok et al 2023). The largest damages and losses occurred in the smaller regional rivers, mainly in the Geul floodplain. The damages depended heavily on how extreme weather events propagate and interact across a river network, in particular for confluences. Traditional flood models typically assess river discharge at single points(main or tributary river), assuming that flooding is caused by high water levels in one part of a river. However, when multiple tributaries experience peak discharge simultaneously or in quick succession, the resulting wave of water can overwhelm flood protection systems. Moreover, despite that land use has changed conside

Penvoerder

Technische Universiteit Delft

Subsidiejaar

2025

Startdatum

2025-09-15

Einddatum

2027-03-15